{"id":3348,"date":"2014-01-06T10:45:31","date_gmt":"2014-01-06T09:45:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/?p=3348"},"modified":"2014-03-30T00:38:57","modified_gmt":"2014-03-29T23:38:57","slug":"leben-wir-bereits-in-einer-computersimulation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/?p=3348","title":{"rendered":"Leben wir bereits in einer Computersimulation?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Die Frage klingt jetzt vermutlich, als w\u00e4re ich v\u00f6llig durchgeknallt. Keine Panik, bin ich nicht. Ich m\u00f6chte nur auf einen Artikel aufmerksam machen, den ich gefunden habe. Und dieser postuliert, dass wir bei dem technischen Fortschritt, den wir an den Tag legen, ja eventuell irgendwann in einen <strong>posthumanen Zustand<\/strong> wechseln mit unserer Gesellschaft&#8230; z.B. unsere <strong>Gehirne in Rechner hochladen<\/strong> und so Zeug. Und eventuell k\u00f6nnte genau das schon einmal passiert sein&#8230; Ich wei\u00df das ist recht spekulativ, aber st\u00e4ndig dieses NSA Zeug macht ja auch irgendwie schlechte Laune.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>This paper argues that at least one of the following propositions is true: (1) the human species is very likely to go extinct before reaching a \u201cposthuman\u201d stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of their evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the belief that there is a significant chance that we will one day become posthumans who run ancestor-simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation. A number of other consequences of this result are also discussed.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"\/wp-upload\/nick_bostrom.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-id=\"3356\"  src=\"\/wp-upload\/nick_bostrom.png\" alt=\"nick_bostrom\" width=\"178\" height=\"265\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-3356\" \/><\/a>Das Ganze Ding hei\u00dft <a href=\"http:\/\/www.simulation-argument.com\/simulation.html\"><strong>&#8222;ARE YOU LIVING IN A COMPUTER SIMULATION?&#8220;<\/strong><\/a>, ist von <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nickbostrom.com\/\">Nick Bostrom<\/a><\/strong>, von der <strong>Faculty of Philosophy, Oxford University<\/strong>, und ist erschienen in Philosophical Quarterly (2003) Vol. 53, No. 211, pp. 243-255 (hier als <a href=\"\/wp-upload\/simulation.pdf\">PDF<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Also wer mal was anderes lesen will als st\u00e4ndig weitere vermeintliche <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/tante.cc\/2014\/01\/03\/shock-awe-30c3\/\">Shock and Awe<\/a><\/strong> Meldungen, der sei herzlich auf dieses Ding hingewiesen.<\/p>\n<p><em>Verwandte Beitr\u00e4ge k\u00f6nnten sein:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.livescience.com\/37499-immortality-by-2045-conference.html\">The Singularity Is Near: Mind Uploading by 2045?<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/rt.com\/usa\/google-kurzweil-singularity-brain-011\/\">Google\u2019s chief engineer: People will soon upload their entire brains to computers<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Mind_uploading\">Mind Uploading<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Singularity_Is_Near\">The Singularity is near<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Update:<\/strong><br \/>\nIch denke mal der wichtigste Punkt, der gegen die obige These spricht ist der, dass wir <strong>zu doof<\/strong> sind und vermutlich auch bleiben werden jemals <strong>fehlerfreie Software zu schreiben<\/strong>. Da h\u00e4tten wir l\u00e4ngst <strong>gro\u00dfe Bugs<\/strong> gesehen wenn es wahr w\u00e4re.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Update 30.4.2014<\/strong><br \/>\nPassend dazu ist auch irgendwie die These von der <a href=\"http:\/\/wayforward.upliftacademy.org\/index.php?title=Leaky_Future_Conjecture\">&#8222;Leaky Future Conjecture&#8220;<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/wp-upload\/LeakyFutureDiagram_550.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-id=\"3729\"  src=\"\/wp-upload\/LeakyFutureDiagram_550.png\" alt=\"LeakyFutureDiagram_550\" width=\"466\" height=\"465\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-3729\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/wp-upload\/LeakyFutureDiagram_550.png 466w, https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/wp-upload\/LeakyFutureDiagram_550-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/wp-upload\/LeakyFutureDiagram_550-300x300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 466px) 85vw, 466px\" \/><\/a><br clear=all><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The Leaky Future Conjecture (LFC) asks &#8222;What if nature were able to leak information from the future to its own past?&#8220; Although human-like time travelers are standard fare in Science Fiction, the conjecture makes no presumptions about what form this communication might take. A Leaky Future could take the form of a stream of bits of information, perhaps as a stream of electromagnetic radiation. The transmission bit rate of this information could be much slower, say, measured in bits per year or centuries. It could operate at very small scale, such as DNA replication, or at the very large scale, such as the sun&#8217;s solar cycle.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><em>via <a href=\"http:\/\/betaknowledge.tumblr.com\/post\/28880553882\">Nicolas Nova<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><small><strong>Why do I blog this?<\/strong> Ich prokrastiniere vor der Mega-Todo-Liste f\u00fcr 2014.<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Die Frage klingt jetzt vermutlich, als w\u00e4re ich v\u00f6llig durchgeknallt. Keine Panik, bin ich nicht. Ich m\u00f6chte nur auf einen Artikel aufmerksam machen, den ich gefunden habe. Und dieser postuliert, dass wir bei dem technischen Fortschritt, den wir an den Tag legen, ja eventuell irgendwann in einen posthumanen Zustand wechseln mit unserer Gesellschaft&#8230; z.B. unsere &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/?p=3348\" class=\"more-link\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201eLeben wir bereits in einer Computersimulation?\u201c <\/span>weiterlesen<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,80,31,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-advocatus-diaboli","category-crazeekywf","category-imagination","category-gefunden"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3348","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3348"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3348\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3348"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3348"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetawelle.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3348"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}